Every number on this site — the independence year, the paydown, your kitchen-table savings — comes out of one Excel workbook. We’re not asking you to trust it. We’re asking you to open it.
How to check our math
Download the workbook
Seven tabs: Assumptions (every dial, editable), BuildSchedule (the year-by-year race between clean build and demand growth), Capex, Fiscal, Benefits, and Household (the kitchen-table calculator, to the dollar). 419 formulas, no macros, nothing hidden.
Change our assumptions
Think the data-center boom is bigger? Type it in. Think geothermal disappoints? Cap it lower. The blue-on-yellow cells are yours; the outputs recompute. If the plan only worked under our assumptions, it wouldn't be a plan.
Compare against the site
The throttle and the calculator run the same formulas this workbook does — the build pipeline fails if they drift by more than rounding. Set the workbook to 120 peak / 100 plateau and you'll get the same 2050, the same 2 losing-ground years.
Check the anchors
Every constant traces to a public source — EIA generation and price data, CBO carbon-fee scoring, NREL and DOE cost benchmarks, EPA's social cost of carbon. The full assumption ledger with sources and dates is in the plan.
Methodology in one page
What the model does. It races two lines for 25 years: how fast America adds clean power, and how fast demand grows — data centers on an S-curve to ~800 TWh, ordinary growth at 0.5% a year, and the new electric load from replacing oil and building gas. Independence is the year the clean build has covered all new demand plus the 2,550 TWh of legacy fossil generation. A “losing-ground” year is any year demand grows faster than the build.
The build schedule. The throttle sets a front-loaded schedule: ramp from today’s ~40 GW/yr to your chosen pace over five years, hold five, then settle at 83% of peak. Front-loading is the whole ballgame — at the record pace held flat, the data-center boom outruns the build for a decade.
Money. Build cost scales from $6.5T with the average pace; jobs are one job-year per $250,000 of build; deficit reduction scales the $9.4T central case (carbon fee with dividend, subsidy repeal, high-end tax reform, and audited savings — each lever labeled by how contested it is, in the Fiscal tab).
Prices. Gasoline and electricity prices on the site come from the U.S. Energy Information Administration at runtime, updated daily, with July 2026 figures as the fallback. Nothing is hard-coded to make the story look better.
Honest caveats. These are order-of-magnitude planning estimates in 2025 dollars, not engineering designs. Twenty-five-year projections carry wide bands; contested levers (Social Security, defense) are presented as choices, not facts. The full caveat list is in the plan — unedited.